DAVE is currently 7% preseason forecast and 93% actual performance for teams with 12 games, and 16% preseason forecast with 84% actual performance for teams with 11 games. For 2021 only: DAVE, or DVOA Adjusted for Variation Early, is a formula which combines our preseason forecast with current weighted DVOA to get a more accurate projection of how a team will play the rest of the season.Defenses are adjusted for playing indoors. Quarterback scrambles are counted as passing plays rather than rushing plays. DVOA stats are adjusted to an average percentage of fumbles recovered by the offense. This page lists DVOA (Defense-adjusted Value Over Average) for total defense as well as rushing and passing defense separated.
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